Islamic State

USA’s Foreign Policy under Trump is Wobbling

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With Trump as the President of the United States, the country’s foreign policy is far from being clear. Both allies and enemies need to find a way to figure out which announcements are true and which would be debunked and later on denied by the president himself.

The North Korean leader has accepted to meet with America’s officials and talk about denuclearization, and instead of sending a diplomat or secretary of state on a formal trip to Pyongyang, Trump assigned Mike Pompeo, CIA Director, to do this under the veil of secrecy. Note that he couldn’t send the Secretary of State because he doesn’t have one and obviously he believes Pompeo is fit for the job.

Source:abc7.com

On Wednesday, Trump confirmed that he would attend the meeting no matter how the conversation went. However, he then said that he would not waste time if the meeting is not going to be productive. So after all, there might not be a summit. In case the meeting takes place, and Trump realizes that nothing good can come out of it he “will respectfully leave the meeting and we’ll continue what we’re doing or whatever it is that we’ll continue, but something will happen.”

Such statements from the President of the world’s most powerful country are shameful. “Something will happen” means that it can range from continuous threats to a nuclear war. Both Trump and Kim Jong-Un need to understand the position of the other side if they want “something (positive) to happen” during the dialogue. There’s a fat chance that this talk will be fruitful.

Source:vox.com

Speaking of Trump’s wobbling foreign policy, the sanctions against Russia are imposed, and UN Ambassador Nikki Haley spoke loudly about it on Sunday. Many agreed with these sanctions. The Russians are the ones who interfered with the American election, plus they sided with Bashar al-Assad in Syria, a man who used chemical weapons to kill his own people. Furthermore, it was Russians who tried to assassinate a former Russian Intelligence officer who lives in England, one of the closest American allies. However, there are no new sanctions. And this is confirmed by no other than Larry Kudlow, Trump’s new chief economic adviser. He said that Haley “got ahead of the curve” and that “there might have been some momentary confusion.” She responded: “With all due respect, I don’t get confused.”

Trump didn’t manage to explain what was going on and whether there would be new sanctions or not. But the Russian officials explained that none of that would happen. The Russians proved to be a more reliable source of information than the president of the United States. America has advocated freedom and democracy as well as human rights for decades, but currently, the White House sees diplomatic relations as something that has winners and losers and America must win. Even with that mindset which is wrong, Trump cannot achieve winning conditions, so we are the ones on the losing side.

If you have a hard time believing that, let’s take a moment to remember the withdrawal from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP). This was a poor move, and China used this to its advantage, strengthening their position and trade in Asia. Trump then wanted to rejoin the TPP, but just recently we could hear from the White House that they will be staying out. Real roller coaster ride.

Source:reuters.com

Last but not least, Trump had success in Syria. The US troops deployed in the region managed to weaken and drive out the Islamic State. Before that and mostly during his campaign he said that America needs to step out of such wars. But now that he got involved he should end things on right note? No. Widespread reports suggest that Trump demands the troops to withdraw from Syria, which may lead to further conflict in the region and the reestablishment of the Islamic State.

As you can see, current president contradicts himself more often than not. He needs to choose a path and follow it in order to stabilize the foreign policy. The consequences are great, and the other countries consider America weaker due to such inconsistencies and contradictions.

Source: realclearpolitics.com

Trump’s Policy Wreaks Havoc in the Middle East?

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Many people are concerned that President Donald Trump is assembling a “war cabinet” with the addition of the new hawkish politicians to the team. With the airstrikes on Syria, Trump showed the poor Foreign Policy strategy. This kind of strategy can be defined as passive-aggressive. The United States is not doing anything concrete to solve the problems in Syria, yet the actions are aggressive enough to wreak havoc in the region.

The things which Trump and his administration are doing are not logical at all. Their goal is to rip up the Iran nuclear deal, defeat the Islamic State in Syria and prevent the Syrian government from using the chemical weapons again. However, as a country, America didn’t do anything to challenge Iran in the region, and once the Islamic State is dealt with, Trump intends to withdraw?! Furthermore, the airstrikes are launched onto Syria, but there is no clear strategy behind it. Most of the rockets were destroyed while in the sky, but as the country burns, Trump said that the mission was accomplished.

The examples of the contradictory politics are numerous. The US greeted Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman when he visited Washington, but they wrote him a blank check afterward for continued regional conflict. Just as we thought that the United States had gained an edge, the president finds a way to mess things up. Let’s not continue with the examples.

Source:hindustantimes.com

The upcoming months will be crucial for the US. In May, Trump wants to open a US Embassy in Jerusalem, which is the time when Iraqis hold the national elections. Furthermore, POTUS plans to rip up the Iran nuclear deal, but let’s not forget that this was all before the supposed chemical attack in Syria when Trump was forced to react. With so much going on in the Middle East, Trump announced that he would withdraw the US army from the region. Could these be the biggest errors made by any administration?

Iran

Source:theduran.com

With ripping up the Iran nuclear deal, the tensions in the region would grow. Not only that. This deal blocks Iran from making the nuclear weapon in the upcoming years, and this is something the US must not do. While the European Union may stay in the deal together with Russia and China, the Iranians may abandon it. Trump has surrounded himself with hawkish politicians, and the changes in his cabinet are grave. The team consisting of Trump, John Bolton who is the new national security advisor and Mike Pompeo, the new CIA director who replaced Rex Tillerson after he was dismissed doesn’t look promising. Let’s not forget about newly-appointed warmongering National Secretary of State John J. Sullivan. With such a team, USA is bound to fail in diplomacy, and they can only rely on Special Forces, Air Force and the military in general. And that is not a good approach.

Anti-Islamic State

Source:vox.com

Trump has announced that he would remove the forces from eastern Syria in the future, but at the moment they are staying put. Withdrawing is not an option because this could spur further conflict in the region and let’s not forget that Turkey and Iran are also involved and not just the Syrian government, Russia, and the US. Leaving Syria would mark the beginning of bloodshed. The similar situation is in Iraq. Will the new president rely on the United States, or will he fall under the Iranian influence? The US could help the next president tackle the issues in the region and with the neighbors, but America isn’t showing too much interest. After investing so much money to combat and suppress the Islamic State, is the USA ready to withdraw from the Middle East?

Israel vs. Palestine

Source:pensivepost.com

The conflict between Israeli and Palestinians lasts for decades. The Trump administration promised a peace plan for the two sides, but nothing has happened so far. President’s decision to move the US Embassy to Jerusalem without the consent and any response from Israel may be a huge mistake.

The upcoming month or two would be crucial for the America and its interests in the Middle East. It appears that Trump is adding insult to injury with his decisions and the moves made by his administration while he should be putting out fires. Due to this, the position of America in the region might change significantly by the end of the year.

Source: foreignpolicy.com

USA Successful in Syria

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Trump’s decision to launch airstrikes on Syria proved to be a success. But is it a carefully planned strategy behind it, or just an impulsive decision based on the happenings in the recent weeks. Can the United States prevent the Syrian government from using the chemical weapons to attack its people and destroy the Islamic State which holds a territory on the Syrian-Iraqi border?

Many people in Washington doubt it because President Donald Trump wants to withdraw around 2,000 US troops from the bases in Syria. The naysayers and doubters are wrong, and there is a way to eliminate the Islamic State, but some measures which are not so popular need to be taken – cooperation with Russia is necessary.

Source:militarytimes.com

The airstrikes were successful, but Syria is looking for ways to import the chemical weapons and renew the chemical weapons program as we speak. This violates the Chemical Weapons Convention, but this also means that the government has small locations which house chemical weapons and which have escaped the detectors of the US military and its allies.

As for the Islamic State issues, the US special operation forces cooperate with the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) which claim the territory after it has been taken from the ISIS. However, they have been expecting from the US to help them defend such territories indefinitely, which is not realistic. The Kurds held Afrin in northwestern Syria, but losing this territory resulted in the freezing of the combat in the Islamic State and their last stronghold. This has complicated relations between the United States and the SDF and what made matters worse is Trump’s statement to withdraw American forces from the fight after the Islamic State territory is taken.

Source:rferl.org

Trump has mainly focused on combating the Islamic State, but the recent airstrikes were intended to stop the Syrian government form using chemical weapons. Together with France, they have stopped the expansion of the Turkish military operation on Euphrates river, and this has reduced the gap between America and the SDF. Trumps administration also imposed sanctions on Russian entities because of their inaction and support of such system. The question which arises is this really the time for the US to withdraw from the region. If the further decisions are to be based on diplomacy and not military intervention, then the withdrawal is justified.

To solve the issue with chemical weapons, America will have to work together with International agencies continuously. The entire process will require Russian involvement. Furthermore, the United States will have to protect the spoils of war against the Islamic State but don’t forget that the US military will not be present on the ground to defend. They need to do so with the SDF, but they will have to explain their presence and come to an understanding with Moscow. If Russia refuses to allow the SDF actions, the Islamic State may attack its posts and spread once more. The good thing is that this can be prevented. America needs to offer Russia a guarantee of regime security, which is a fair deal. Also, the US troops cannot withdraw all at once. It is a gradual process, and some troops would stay in Syria until things quiet down and the Islamic State leadership defeated. To hunt down the remaining Islamic State leaders, the United States and Russia need to work together.

Source:vox.com

Trump intends to remove the troops, but the regime will still stand, and the chemical weapons facilities will not be removed. The Russian military will furthermore have a big influence in the country, so what is the next step for the US? They need to continue their talks with Moscow and agree upon particular interests of the United States in Syrian civil war.

Source: foreignpolicy.com