COVID-19 - Page 12

The Predictions About Coronavirus And Its Comeback In Winter

The coronavirus has been spreading quickly worldwide. However, there are some claims that its transmission rates might fall during the summer, and will rise again in winter.

If coronavirus transmissions really stop during the warm weather, that shouldn’t make you believe that the outbreak has come to an end. Scientist warn that it is most likely that it will come back in winter, and the reduction of infected should be used for preparation for the next rise of the virus. The scientific model predicts that it could infect 100 times more people.

The transmission rates and the effects of seasonal variation on COVID-19, have been modelled by research scientists from universities in Basel and Stockholm. Their model suggests that „a small peak in early 2020“ which we are experiencing at the moment, will be followed by „a larger peak in winter 2020-2021“, and those papers are undergoing peer-review.

One of the paper’s co-authors, Dr Emma Hodcroft, told Sky News that the model wasn’t an unreasonable scenario, but it was hard to have exact numbers of infected when the virus rises again. She added that the numbers shouldn’t be the top of our concerns, saying: „These predictions are ones we’ve made based on assumptions about how seasonality affects transmission, based on how it is known to affect other coronaviruses.“

It is important to predict the virus’ transmission and how it could be affected by the change in season.

Dr Hodcroft also said: „The main takeaway is, if seasonality does decrease in the summer time, then we should be cautious still because we could still see a bigger peak in winter. If we aren’t aware of this possibility then we could be caught off guard when winter comes again.“

The model also suggests that COVID-19 could become a regular, seasonal occurrence, just like the flu.

So far, there is a total of over 150,000 confirmed cases of the coronavirus COVID-19. and over 6,000 deaths.

In The Wake Of Coronavirus Spread Here Are The Safest Countries So Far

155 countries and territories around the world have reported a total of over 150,000 confirmed cases of the coronavirus COVID-19 which originated from China. Some nations closed their borders, and travel bans are more and more common. However, there are some coutries which seem to be the safest as the spread of virus continues.

When it comes to Eupore, the spread of coronavirus is quick, which led to the World Health Organization declaring the continent the epicentre of the pandemic.

A risk assessment map on the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s (CDC) website shows which countries travellers should avoid, and which are more safe. Four levels of risk include no reported risk level, limited community spread, sustained community spread, and widespread sustained spread.

The last risk level includes all the countries whose flights have been banned to and from US, by President Donald Trump, and those are Austria, Belgium, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Monaco, San Marino, and Vatican City. Iran and China are also on the list. The World Health Organization declared that China is no longer the epicentre of coronavirus, and the title has been given to Europe.

Also Read: Life in Quarantine During Coronavirus Pandemic

People around the world have been advised to avoid nonessential travel, especially when to comes to the countries which have been in the widespread sustained spread group. Another country that has been added to that group is South Korea, and even though there are no travel restrictions towards the country, it is recommended that you avoid nonessential travel.

Since COVID-19 can easily and quickly cross borders, there is no country on the map which carries no risk of it. It is expected that more countries will be added to the list. Denmark temporarily close its borders to tourists in order to contain the spread of the virus.

„Right now, Europe and the US are practically in lockdown. Cross-border travel will be minimised. We are currently focusing on staycations, within-country travel, domestic travel will recover from this crisis first,“ Mark Wong, an executive at Small Luxury Hotels of the World, told CNB.

He added: „Road trips – the drive market – will be this summer’s trend. Travellers will be more comfortable hopping into their own cars or rental vehicles than commuting in mass transportation.“

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